"It's far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price."
— Warren Buffett
Click any pillar label to read Buffett's full reasoning. Drag sliders to stress-test the analysis.
Moatwhy
5/10
Imaflex operates in Industrial with limited structural differentiation. Competition is possible without significant barriers. The business competes on service, relationships, or price rather than structural advantage. Buffett would require a meaningful discount to intrinsic value to compensate for the absence of a durable moat.
Managementwhy
6/10
Management at Imaflex shows reasonable alignment. There is credible insider ownership and a coherent strategic track record, though the history may be shorter or capital allocation choices have been mixed. Worth following but not yet deserving of the full Buffett trust premium. Monitor capital allocation decisions closely.
Financialswhy
6/10
Imaflex's financial profile is solid. Manageable debt, positive free cash flow, and consistent profitability. No immediate solvency concerns. The business can fund organic growth internally. Buffett would consider this a 'good business' financially — not exceptional, but reliable. Watch debt service coverage and working capital quality.
Predictabilitywhy
5/10
Imaflex's earnings visibility is limited. The Industrial sector produces lumpy, project-driven, or cyclically sensitive revenue that makes multi-year forecasting difficult. Buffett deliberately avoids businesses where he cannot see the future clearly. Stress-test aggressively and do not anchor to a single earnings estimate.
Margin of safetywhy
7/10
Imaflex trades at a reasonable discount to intrinsic value — not a screaming bargain, but attractive for a quality business. The margin of safety is sufficient for a patient 3-5 year investor. Buffett: 'Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.' At these levels, the investor pays a fair price for a good business rather than a dear price for an average one.
Radar chart — adjust sliders above to update
Composite: 6.0/10 • Verdict: Watch
Owner earnings bridge
Buffett's real number: Net income + D&A − Maintenance capex ± Working capital. Figures are indicative estimates from pillar scores — verify against company filings.
Estimated net income+$2.40M est.
Add: depreciation & amortisation+$0.34M
Less: maintenance capex-$0.41M
Less: minority interest adj.-$0.19M
Owner earnings~$2.04M
Owner earnings per share (est. 47.4M shares)$0.043/share
Price / OE at buy price C$2.2010x
Interactive DCF — adjust assumptions
Owner earnings ($M)$2.0M
Annual growth rate8%
Discount rate9%
Stock price (CAD $)$2.20
Intrinsic value per share
—
Calculating...
Bear case
—
Stress scenario
OE halved, 0% growth, 6x earnings
Base case
—
Most likely path
Current OE, 8% growth, 10x earnings
Bull case
—
Upside scenario
OE +50%, 15% growth, 14x earnings
Financial trend chart
Revenue (est.)Earnings (est.)
Investment thesis
Flexible packaging and agricultural films; profitable recovery FY2024-25; dividend paying.
Primary risk
Input resin cost volatility; customer concentration
Buffett's lens on each pillar
Moat (5/10)
Imaflex operates in Industrial with limited structural differentiation. Competition is possible without significant barriers. The business competes on service, relationships, or price rather than structural advantage. Buffett would require a meaningful discount to intrinsic value to compensate for t...
Management (6/10)
Management at Imaflex shows reasonable alignment. There is credible insider ownership and a coherent strategic track record, though the history may be shorter or capital allocation choices have been mixed. Worth following but not yet deserving of the full Buffett trust premium. Monitor capital alloc...
Financials (6/10)
Imaflex's financial profile is solid. Manageable debt, positive free cash flow, and consistent profitability. No immediate solvency concerns. The business can fund organic growth internally. Buffett would consider this a 'good business' financially — not exceptional, but reliable. Watch ...
Predictability (5/10)
Imaflex's earnings visibility is limited. The Industrial sector produces lumpy, project-driven, or cyclically sensitive revenue that makes multi-year forecasting difficult. Buffett deliberately avoids businesses where he cannot see the future clearly. Stress-test aggressively and do not anchor t...
Margin of safety (7/10)
Imaflex trades at a reasonable discount to intrinsic value — not a screaming bargain, but attractive for a quality business. The margin of safety is sufficient for a patient 3-5 year investor. Buffett: 'Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.' At these levels, the investor pays a fair ...
Final verdict: Watch
Target buy price: C$2.20 — 25% margin of safety on base-case intrinsic value.
Overall score: 6/10.
Dividend payer — eligible for holdco tax-efficient income strategy.
Overall score: 6/10.
Dividend payer — eligible for holdco tax-efficient income strategy.
Verdict
Buffett / Munger
Watch
6/10
Composite score
Target buy price
C$2.20
25% MoS on base-case intrinsic value
Checklist
DividendYes
Moat5/10
Mgmt6/10
Financials6/10
Predictability5/10
Margin of safety7/10
Pillar bars
Moat5
Mgmt6
Fin6
Pred5
MoS7