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IC Group Holdings
Industrial • April 2026 • Buffett / Munger framework
Pass
4
Score
3
Moat
4
Mgmt
4
Fin
4
Pred
5
MoS
"It's far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price."
— Warren Buffett
Click any pillar label to read Buffett's full reasoning. Drag sliders to stress-test the analysis.
Moatwhy
3/10
IC Group Holdings lacks a discernible economic moat in Industrial. No pricing power, no switching costs, no network effects. Buffett: 'When a management with a reputation for brilliance tackles a business with a reputation for bad economics, the reputation of the business remains intact.' Price must reflect this structural weakness.
Managementwhy
4/10
Management quality at IC Group Holdings is adequate but uninspiring. Insider ownership may be limited, the capital allocation track record is mixed, or leadership is unproven in Industrial. Buffett is acutely sensitive to management quality in small companies where the CEO is the company. The discount to IV must compensate for this uncertainty.
Financialswhy
4/10
IC Group Holdings's financials show meaningful weaknesses. This may include significant debt, inconsistent cash flow, or a history of equity raises. The Industrial sector often requires capital intensity that limits true owner earnings. Buffett would discount the apparent earnings significantly and examine the cash flow statement rigorously.
Predictabilitywhy
4/10
IC Group Holdings's earnings visibility is limited. The Industrial sector produces lumpy, project-driven, or cyclically sensitive revenue that makes multi-year forecasting difficult. Buffett deliberately avoids businesses where he cannot see the future clearly. Stress-test aggressively and do not anchor to a single earnings estimate.
Margin of safetywhy
5/10
IC Group Holdings trades near fair value. The price largely reflects business quality, leaving limited upside from multiple expansion. Investment return will approximate the underlying earnings growth rate. Buffett would not buy here unless the earnings trajectory has a high probability of positive surprise. Better opportunities likely exist elsewhere in Canadian microcap.
Radar chart — adjust sliders above to update
IC Group Holdings: Moat 3, Management 4, Financials 4, Predictability 4, Margin of Safety 5.
Composite: 4.0/10 • Verdict: Pass
Owner earnings bridge
Buffett's real number: Net income + D&A − Maintenance capex ± Working capital. Figures are indicative estimates from pillar scores — verify against company filings.
Estimated net income+$1.60M est.
Add: depreciation & amortisation+$0.22M
Less: maintenance capex-$0.27M
Less: minority interest adj.-$0.13M
Owner earnings~$1.36M
Owner earnings per share (est. 47.4M shares)$0.029/share
Price / OE at buy price N/A8x
Interactive DCF — adjust assumptions
Owner earnings ($M)$1.4M
Annual growth rate8%
Discount rate9%
Stock price (CAD $)$0.10
Intrinsic value per share
Calculating...
Bear case
Stress scenario
OE halved, 0% growth, 6x earnings
Base case
Most likely path
Current OE, 8% growth, 8x earnings
Bull case
Upside scenario
OE +50%, 15% growth, 12x earnings
Financial trend chart
Revenue (est.)Earnings (est.)
Indicative trend based on pillar scores.
Investment thesis
Industrial services holding company; limited public information.
Primary risk
Illiquidity; limited disclosure
Buffett's lens on each pillar
Moat (3/10)
IC Group Holdings lacks a discernible economic moat in Industrial. No pricing power, no switching costs, no network effects. Buffett: 'When a management with a reputation for brilliance tackles a business with a reputation for bad economics, the reputation of the business remains intact.' Pr...
Management (4/10)
Management quality at IC Group Holdings is adequate but uninspiring. Insider ownership may be limited, the capital allocation track record is mixed, or leadership is unproven in Industrial. Buffett is acutely sensitive to management quality in small companies where the CEO is the company. The discou...
Financials (4/10)
IC Group Holdings's financials show meaningful weaknesses. This may include significant debt, inconsistent cash flow, or a history of equity raises. The Industrial sector often requires capital intensity that limits true owner earnings. Buffett would discount the apparent earnings significantly ...
Predictability (4/10)
IC Group Holdings's earnings visibility is limited. The Industrial sector produces lumpy, project-driven, or cyclically sensitive revenue that makes multi-year forecasting difficult. Buffett deliberately avoids businesses where he cannot see the future clearly. Stress-test aggressively and do no...
Margin of safety (5/10)
IC Group Holdings trades near fair value. The price largely reflects business quality, leaving limited upside from multiple expansion. Investment return will approximate the underlying earnings growth rate. Buffett would not buy here unless the earnings trajectory has a high probability of positive ...
Final verdict: Pass
Target buy price: N/A — 25% margin of safety on base-case intrinsic value.
Overall score: 4/10.
No current dividend.
Verdict
Buffett / Munger
Pass
4/10
Composite score
Target buy price
N/A
25% MoS on base-case intrinsic value
Checklist
DividendNo
Moat3/10
Mgmt4/10
Financials4/10
Predictability4/10
Margin of safety5/10
Pillar bars
Moat
3
Mgmt
4
Fin
4
Pred
4
MoS
5