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Vitreous Glass DIV
Industrial • April 2026 • Buffett / Munger framework
Watch
6
Score
5
Moat
6
Mgmt
6
Fin
6
Pred
7
MoS
"It's far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price."
— Warren Buffett
Click any pillar label to read Buffett's full reasoning. Drag sliders to stress-test the analysis.
Moatwhy
5/10
Vitreous Glass operates in Industrial with limited structural differentiation. Competition is possible without significant barriers. The business competes on service, relationships, or price rather than structural advantage. Buffett would require a meaningful discount to intrinsic value to compensate for the absence of a durable moat.
Managementwhy
6/10
Management at Vitreous Glass shows reasonable alignment. There is credible insider ownership and a coherent strategic track record, though the history may be shorter or capital allocation choices have been mixed. Worth following but not yet deserving of the full Buffett trust premium. Monitor capital allocation decisions closely.
Financialswhy
6/10
Vitreous Glass's financial profile is solid. Manageable debt, positive free cash flow, and consistent profitability. No immediate solvency concerns. The business can fund organic growth internally. Buffett would consider this a 'good business' financially — not exceptional, but reliable. Watch debt service coverage and working capital quality.
Predictabilitywhy
6/10
Vitreous Glass's earnings have moderate predictability. Recurring revenue or contract backlog provides some visibility, but the business is not immune to economic shocks, commodity cycles, or project timing variance. Buffett would apply a wider scenario range and require a larger margin of safety to compensate for earnings uncertainty.
Margin of safetywhy
7/10
Vitreous Glass trades at a reasonable discount to intrinsic value — not a screaming bargain, but attractive for a quality business. The margin of safety is sufficient for a patient 3-5 year investor. Buffett: 'Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.' At these levels, the investor pays a fair price for a good business rather than a dear price for an average one.
Radar chart — adjust sliders above to update
Vitreous Glass: Moat 5, Management 6, Financials 6, Predictability 6, Margin of Safety 7.
Composite: 6.0/10 • Verdict: Watch
Owner earnings bridge
Buffett's real number: Net income + D&A − Maintenance capex ± Working capital. Figures are indicative estimates from pillar scores — verify against company filings.
Estimated net income+$2.40M est.
Add: depreciation & amortisation+$0.34M
Less: maintenance capex-$0.41M
Less: minority interest adj.-$0.19M
Owner earnings~$2.04M
Owner earnings per share (est. 47.4M shares)$0.043/share
Price / OE at buy price C$4.5010x
Interactive DCF — adjust assumptions
Owner earnings ($M)$2.0M
Annual growth rate8%
Discount rate9%
Stock price (CAD $)$4.50
Intrinsic value per share
Calculating...
Bear case
Stress scenario
OE halved, 0% growth, 6x earnings
Base case
Most likely path
Current OE, 8% growth, 10x earnings
Bull case
Upside scenario
OE +50%, 15% growth, 14x earnings
Financial trend chart
Revenue (est.)Earnings (est.)
Indicative trend based on pillar scores.
Investment thesis
Waste glass recycler supplying fiberglass manufacturers; 6% dividend yield; niche near-monopoly in Western Canada.
Primary risk
Variable quarterly dividend; single customer risk
Buffett's lens on each pillar
Moat (5/10)
Vitreous Glass operates in Industrial with limited structural differentiation. Competition is possible without significant barriers. The business competes on service, relationships, or price rather than structural advantage. Buffett would require a meaningful discount to intrinsic value to compensat...
Management (6/10)
Management at Vitreous Glass shows reasonable alignment. There is credible insider ownership and a coherent strategic track record, though the history may be shorter or capital allocation choices have been mixed. Worth following but not yet deserving of the full Buffett trust premium. Monitor capita...
Financials (6/10)
Vitreous Glass's financial profile is solid. Manageable debt, positive free cash flow, and consistent profitability. No immediate solvency concerns. The business can fund organic growth internally. Buffett would consider this a 'good business' financially — not exceptional, but reliable....
Predictability (6/10)
Vitreous Glass's earnings have moderate predictability. Recurring revenue or contract backlog provides some visibility, but the business is not immune to economic shocks, commodity cycles, or project timing variance. Buffett would apply a wider scenario range and require a larger margin of safet...
Margin of safety (7/10)
Vitreous Glass trades at a reasonable discount to intrinsic value — not a screaming bargain, but attractive for a quality business. The margin of safety is sufficient for a patient 3-5 year investor. Buffett: 'Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.' At these levels, the investor pays ...
Final verdict: Watch
Target buy price: C$4.50 — 25% margin of safety on base-case intrinsic value.
Overall score: 6/10.
Dividend payer — eligible for holdco tax-efficient income strategy.
Verdict
Buffett / Munger
Watch
6/10
Composite score
Target buy price
C$4.50
25% MoS on base-case intrinsic value
Checklist
DividendYes
Moat5/10
Mgmt6/10
Financials6/10
Predictability6/10
Margin of safety7/10
Pillar bars
Moat
5
Mgmt
6
Fin
6
Pred
6
MoS
7