"It's far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price."
— Warren Buffett
Click any pillar label to read Buffett's full reasoning. Drag sliders to stress-test the analysis.
Moatwhy
8/10
Haivision Systems has a wide economic moat in the Technology space — proprietary technology, high switching costs, network effects, or regulatory protection create structural barriers that protect returns on capital. Buffett's ideal: a business protected by an enduring castle surrounded by a wide moat. Competitors face real obstacles. Pricing power exists.
Managementwhy
7/10
Management at Haivision Systems shows reasonable alignment. There is credible insider ownership and a coherent strategic track record, though the history may be shorter or capital allocation choices have been mixed. Worth following but not yet deserving of the full Buffett trust premium. Monitor capital allocation decisions closely.
Financialswhy
7/10
Haivision Systems's financial profile is solid. Manageable debt, positive free cash flow, and consistent profitability. No immediate solvency concerns. The business can fund organic growth internally. Buffett would consider this a 'good business' financially — not exceptional, but reliable. Watch debt service coverage and working capital quality.
Predictabilitywhy
6/10
Haivision Systems's earnings have moderate predictability. Recurring revenue or contract backlog provides some visibility, but the business is not immune to economic shocks, commodity cycles, or project timing variance. Buffett would apply a wider scenario range and require a larger margin of safety to compensate for earnings uncertainty.
Margin of safetywhy
5/10
Haivision Systems trades near fair value. The price largely reflects business quality, leaving limited upside from multiple expansion. Investment return will approximate the underlying earnings growth rate. Buffett would not buy here unless the earnings trajectory has a high probability of positive surprise. Better opportunities likely exist elsewhere in Canadian microcap.
Radar chart — adjust sliders above to update
Composite: 8.0/10 • Verdict: Buy
Owner earnings bridge
Buffett's real number: Net income + D&A − Maintenance capex ± Working capital. Figures are indicative estimates from pillar scores — verify against company filings.
Estimated net income+$3.08M est.
Add: depreciation & amortisation+$0.43M
Less: maintenance capex-$0.52M
Less: minority interest adj.-$0.25M
Owner earnings~$2.62M
Owner earnings per share (est. 47.4M shares)$0.055/share
Price / OE at buy price C$6.5012x
Interactive DCF — adjust assumptions
Owner earnings ($M)$2.6M
Annual growth rate8%
Discount rate9%
Stock price (CAD $)$6.50
Intrinsic value per share
—
Calculating...
Bear case
—
Stress scenario
OE halved, 0% growth, 6x earnings
Base case
—
Most likely path
Current OE, 8% growth, 12x earnings
Bull case
—
Upside scenario
OE +50%, 15% growth, 16x earnings
Financial trend chart
Revenue (est.)Earnings (est.)
Investment thesis
Mission-critical video for defense/broadcast; SRT open protocol moat; 73% gross margins; 150M revenue guidance.
Primary risk
Defense budget cyclicality; product transition gaps
Buffett's lens on each pillar
Moat (8/10)
Haivision Systems has a wide economic moat in the Technology space — proprietary technology, high switching costs, network effects, or regulatory protection create structural barriers that protect returns on capital. Buffett's ideal: a business protected by an enduring castle surrounded by a wid...
Management (7/10)
Management at Haivision Systems shows reasonable alignment. There is credible insider ownership and a coherent strategic track record, though the history may be shorter or capital allocation choices have been mixed. Worth following but not yet deserving of the full Buffett trust premium. Monitor cap...
Financials (7/10)
Haivision Systems's financial profile is solid. Manageable debt, positive free cash flow, and consistent profitability. No immediate solvency concerns. The business can fund organic growth internally. Buffett would consider this a 'good business' financially — not exceptional, but reliab...
Predictability (6/10)
Haivision Systems's earnings have moderate predictability. Recurring revenue or contract backlog provides some visibility, but the business is not immune to economic shocks, commodity cycles, or project timing variance. Buffett would apply a wider scenario range and require a larger margin of sa...
Margin of safety (5/10)
Haivision Systems trades near fair value. The price largely reflects business quality, leaving limited upside from multiple expansion. Investment return will approximate the underlying earnings growth rate. Buffett would not buy here unless the earnings trajectory has a high probability of positive ...
Final verdict: Buy
Target buy price: C$6.50 — 25% margin of safety on base-case intrinsic value.
Overall score: 8/10.
No current dividend.
Overall score: 8/10.
No current dividend.
Verdict
Buffett / Munger
Buy
8/10
Composite score
Target buy price
C$6.50
25% MoS on base-case intrinsic value
Checklist
DividendNo
Moat8/10
Mgmt7/10
Financials7/10
Predictability6/10
Margin of safety5/10
Pillar bars
Moat8
Mgmt7
Fin7
Pred6
MoS5