"It's far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price."
— Warren Buffett
Click any pillar label to read Buffett's full reasoning. Drag sliders to stress-test the analysis.
Moatwhy
3/10
1CM Inc lacks a discernible economic moat in Cannabis/Tech. No pricing power, no switching costs, no network effects. Buffett: 'When a management with a reputation for brilliance tackles a business with a reputation for bad economics, the reputation of the business remains intact.' Price must reflect this structural weakness.
Managementwhy
5/10
Management quality at 1CM Inc is adequate but uninspiring. Insider ownership may be limited, the capital allocation track record is mixed, or leadership is unproven in Cannabis/Tech. Buffett is acutely sensitive to management quality in small companies where the CEO is the company. The discount to IV must compensate for this uncertainty.
Financialswhy
4/10
1CM Inc's financials show meaningful weaknesses. This may include significant debt, inconsistent cash flow, or a history of equity raises. The Cannabis/Tech sector often requires capital intensity that limits true owner earnings. Buffett would discount the apparent earnings significantly and examine the cash flow statement rigorously.
Predictabilitywhy
3/10
1CM Inc's earnings are essentially unpredictable — pre-revenue, highly cyclical, or subject to major external variables. Standard DCF analysis requires fundamental earnings power as an anchor; without it, the investment becomes speculative. Suitable only under a deep-value or option-like framework, not a Buffett compounding thesis.
Margin of safetywhy
6/10
1CM Inc trades at a reasonable discount to intrinsic value — not a screaming bargain, but attractive for a quality business. The margin of safety is sufficient for a patient 3-5 year investor. Buffett: 'Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.' At these levels, the investor pays a fair price for a good business rather than a dear price for an average one.
Radar chart — adjust sliders above to update
Composite: 4.0/10 • Verdict: Pass
Owner earnings bridge
Buffett's real number: Net income + D&A − Maintenance capex ± Working capital. Figures are indicative estimates from pillar scores — verify against company filings.
Estimated net income+$1.60M est.
Add: depreciation & amortisation+$0.22M
Less: maintenance capex-$0.27M
Less: minority interest adj.-$0.13M
Owner earnings~$1.36M
Owner earnings per share (est. 47.4M shares)$0.029/share
Price / OE at buy price C$0.088x
Interactive DCF — adjust assumptions
Owner earnings ($M)$1.4M
Annual growth rate8%
Discount rate9%
Stock price (CAD $)$0.08
Intrinsic value per share
—
Calculating...
Bear case
—
Stress scenario
OE halved, 0% growth, 6x earnings
Base case
—
Most likely path
Current OE, 8% growth, 8x earnings
Bull case
—
Upside scenario
OE +50%, 15% growth, 12x earnings
Financial trend chart
Revenue (est.)Earnings (est.)
Investment thesis
SNDL store sale pending; post-transaction entity undefined; situation play only.
Primary risk
Ontario closing delayed; post-sale entity has no revenue
Buffett's lens on each pillar
Moat (3/10)
1CM Inc lacks a discernible economic moat in Cannabis/Tech. No pricing power, no switching costs, no network effects. Buffett: 'When a management with a reputation for brilliance tackles a business with a reputation for bad economics, the reputation of the business remains intact.' Price mus...
Management (5/10)
Management quality at 1CM Inc is adequate but uninspiring. Insider ownership may be limited, the capital allocation track record is mixed, or leadership is unproven in Cannabis/Tech. Buffett is acutely sensitive to management quality in small companies where the CEO is the company. The discount to I...
Financials (4/10)
1CM Inc's financials show meaningful weaknesses. This may include significant debt, inconsistent cash flow, or a history of equity raises. The Cannabis/Tech sector often requires capital intensity that limits true owner earnings. Buffett would discount the apparent earnings significantly and exa...
Predictability (3/10)
1CM Inc's earnings are essentially unpredictable — pre-revenue, highly cyclical, or subject to major external variables. Standard DCF analysis requires fundamental earnings power as an anchor; without it, the investment becomes speculative. Suitable only under a deep-value or option-like framewo...
Margin of safety (6/10)
1CM Inc trades at a reasonable discount to intrinsic value — not a screaming bargain, but attractive for a quality business. The margin of safety is sufficient for a patient 3-5 year investor. Buffett: 'Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.' At these levels, the investor pays a fair ...
Final verdict: Pass
Target buy price: C$0.08 — 25% margin of safety on base-case intrinsic value.
Overall score: 4/10.
No current dividend.
Overall score: 4/10.
No current dividend.
Verdict
Buffett / Munger
Pass
4/10
Composite score
Target buy price
C$0.08
25% MoS on base-case intrinsic value
Checklist
DividendNo
Moat3/10
Mgmt5/10
Financials4/10
Predictability3/10
Margin of safety6/10
Pillar bars
Moat3
Mgmt5
Fin4
Pred3
MoS6